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Provocations

Nuclear Risks Rise as Great-Power Conflict Goes On

Pages 25-38 | Published online: 15 Apr 2024
 

Notes

1 David Cohen, “War, Moderation, and Revenge in Thucydides,” Journal of Military Ethics 5, no. 4 (2006): 270-289.

2 Scott D. Sagan, “Why do states build nuclear weapons?: Three models in search of a bomb,” International Security 21, no. 3 (1996): 54-86.

3 Henry D. Sokolski (ed.), Getting MAD: a nuclear mutual assured destruction, its origins and practice (Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College, 2004); Thomas Schelling, Arms and Influence (New Haven, CT: Yale UP 1967), 18–25.

4 Nina Tannenwald, “The nuclear taboo: The United States and the normative basis of nuclear non-use,” International Organization 53, no. 3 (1999): 433-468.

5 Nina Tannenwald, “Stigmatizing the bomb: Origins of the nuclear taboo,” International Security 29, no. 4 (2005): 5-49.

6 Nina Tannenwald, “How strong is the nuclear taboo today?,” Washington Quarterly 41, no. 3 (2018): 89-109.

7 Michael Gerson, “No first use: The next step for US nuclear policy,” International Security 35, no. 2 (2010): 7-47.

8 George Quester, “If the nuclear taboo gets broken,” Naval War College Review 58, no. 2 (2005): 70-92.

9 See Kristin Ven Bruusgaard, “Russian strategic deterrence,” Survival 58, no. 4 (2016): 7-26;

Olga Oliker, “Moscow’s Nuclear Enigma: What Is Russia’s Arsenal Really For?,” Foreign Affairs 97, no. 6 (November/December 2018): 52, 54.

10 Graham Allison, “Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap? (New York: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2017).

11 Abramo Organski, World Politics (New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 1958); Richard Ned Lebow and Benjamin Valentino, “Lost in transition: A critical analysis of power transition theory,” International Relations 23, no. 3 (2009): 389-410; See also Steve Chan, China, The US and the Power-transition Theory: A Critique (New York: Routledge, 2007).

12 Multiple sources make a similar claim about the inevitability of the Thucydides Trap, including Steve Chan, “More than one trap: Problematic interpretations and overlooked lessons from Thucydides,” Journal of Chinese Political Science 24 (2019): 11-24; Oriana Skylar Mastro, “In the shadow of the Thucydides trap: International relations theory and the prospects for peace in US-China relations,” Journal of Chinese Political Science 24 (2019): 25-45; Brandon K. Yoder, “Uncertainty, shifting power and credible signals in US-China relations: Why the ‘Thucydides Trap’ is real, but limited,” Journal of Chinese Political Science 24, no. 1 (2019): 87-104.

13 See David Cohen, “War, Moderation, and Revenge in Thucydides,” Journal of Military Ethics 5, no. 4 (2006): 270-289.

14 Gerard Mulligan, “Genocide in the Ancient World,” Ancient History Encyclopedia, 2013, 27.

15 Brandon J. Griffin, Natalie Purcell, Kristine Burkman, Brett T. Litz, Craig J. Bryan, Martha Schmitz, Claudia Villierme, Jessica Walsh, and Shira Maguen, “Moral injury: An integrative review,” Journal of Traumatic Stress 32, no. 3 (2019): 350-362.

16 Leon Festinger, “Cognitive dissonance,” Scientific American 207, no. 4 (1962): 93-106.

17 Gavan Daws, Prisoners of the Japanese: POWS of World War II in the Pacific (New York: William Morrow, 1995).

18 Carol Harrington, Politicization of sexual violence: From abolitionism to peacekeeping (Routledge, 2016); Charles A. Lockwood, Sink Em All: Submarine Warfare in the Pacific (New York: Dutton, 1951).

19 Peter Jan Honigsberg, "The consequences today of the United States' brutal post-9/11 interrogation techniques," Notre Dame JL Ethics & Public Policy 31 (2017): 29-84.

20 Allison, Destined for War: Can American and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap?.

21 US Department of State, Foreign Relations of the United States and Japan:1931-1941, Vol. 2. (Washington, DC: US Government Printing Office, 1943).

22 Charles Maechling, “Pearl Harbor The First Energy War,” History Today 50, no. 12 (2000): 41-47.

23 Olivia Waxman, “The Real Biggest Myths About World War II, According to a Military Historian,” Time, May 7, 2021, https://time.com/6045753/v-e-day-wwii-myths/.

24 Robert B. Kane, “The Doolittle raid--75 years later,” Air & Space Power Journal 31, no. 1 (2017): 72-81.

25 Iris Chang, The Rape of Nanking: The forgotten holocaust of World War II (New York: Basic Books, 2014).

26 Dennis M. Giangreco, Hell to Pay: Operation Downfall and the Invasion of Japan, 1945–1947 (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2017); Bernard D. Rostker, Providing for the casualties of war: The American experience through World War II (Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corporation, 2013).

27 Graham T. Allison, “Conceptual models and the Cuban missile crisis,” American Political Science Review 63, no. 3 (1969): 689-718.

28 Andrew Mumford, “Proxy warfare and the future of conflict,” RUSI Journal 158, no. 2 (2013): 40-46.

29 “Thucydides Trap Case Files: Seven Straw Men,” Harvard Kennedy School Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, accessed September 18, 2023, https://www.belfercenter.org/thucydides-trap/case-file/seven-straw-men-thucydides.

30 Hal Brands and Michael Beckley, “China is a Declining Power—and That’s the Problem,” Foreign Policy, September 24, 2021, https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/09/24/china-great-power-united-states/.

31 The White House, “Fact Sheet: CHIPS and Science Act Will Lower Costs, Create Jobs, Strengthen Supply Chains, and Counter China,” August 9, 2022, https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/08/09/fact-sheet-chips-and-science-act-will-lower-costs-create-jobs-strengthen-supply-chains-and-counter-china/.

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